Don’t believe everyone when they talk about the Bucs playoff scenarios.

December 16, 2008
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I’ve been digging through the tie-breaker rules within the NFL and trying to figure out what has to happen for the Bucs to make the playoffs and I’ve come up with this. No one can figure it out yet! Look, here it is. If the Cowboys, Falcons and Bucs all win out than it comes down to certain things. The Bucs lose out to Dallas because of the head-to-head loss. The tie breaker between the Falcons and Bucs is more complicated though. I’ve heard everyone saying things to contradict each other and, unless I’m misunderstanding something, there’s no way you can figure it out right now. If both teams win out as explained, they would have the same record in virtually every way. The Bucs would have a better home record, but that doesn’t seem to matter. Here’s the tie breaker rules from the NFL site.

Two Clubs

  1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
  4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  5. Strength of victory.
  6. Strength of schedule.
  7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
  8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
  9. Best net points in common games.
  10. Best net points in all games.
  11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
  12. Coin toss

This tells me that it would come down to strength of victory. I’m not sure if that’s for head-to-head, common opponents, overall or what but I take this from it. The Bucs better go Urban Meyer and look to destroy the Chargers and Raiders. If it’s overall than they need to blow these teams out and that would put them in ahead of Atlanta. They need to win big in their final games and that should take care of things. I could be wrong, it wouldn’t be the first time, but I think that’s the way it’s going to be. Anyone else know for sure?


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Tags: tampa bay buccaneers, dallas cowboys, oakland raiders, urban meyer, san diego chargers, atlanta falcons
  • Cork

    Strength of Victory is the combined record of all teams that the Bucs have wins against.

    Right now the Bucs wins are against opponents that have 54 wins total (i think, it was a quick look). Falcons number is 46.

    The Bucs two remaining opponents have 9 wins total, so if the Bucs win out and those two teams lose out, the Bucs number is 63

    The Falcons two remaining oppoonents have 11 wins total. So there number under same scenario would be 57.

    Now. this will all change based on how the other teams that the Bucs and Falcons have already beaten do in the final 2 weeks. But it looks like the Bucs will win the 5th tie-breaker pretty easily.

  • http://tampabaysportsblog.com Scott Brannelly

    Thanks for fixing me up on this one man.

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